<img height="1" width="1" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=755385498933168&amp;ev=PageView%20&amp;noscript=1">

Unrest, Disruptions Continue Across Kazakhstan

Situation update

  • Kazakhstan continues to experience significant nationwide unrest with major disruptive impacts across sectors. As a result, President Tokayev called on the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), the Russian-dominated regional security bloc, for help in quelling the violence. Some 2,500 Russia troops deployed to Kazakhstan to help secure strategic infrastructure and assist domestic security forces.
  • President Tokayev issued a critical "red-level" terror alert for the country, classifying all protesters as "terrorists" and empowering local security forces to shoot on sight and without warning. The order also allows security forces broad ability to search and seize, block movement, and monitor telecom activity. At least 130 protesters have been killed thus far while at least 20 security personnel have also been killed in the unrest since 04 January. 
  • While the scale of protest activity and violence has reportedly began to diminish outside Almaty, an unknown number of Kazakhstani police and military have joined protesters or been disarmed. Additionally, weapons depots have been looted, raising the specter of heavy violence in the future.
  • The city of Almaty continues to experience unrest and clashes through 07 January, with reports of an explosion in the northeastern part of the city followed by a chemical smell. Additional violence is likely in central Almaty and other parts of the city. 
  • An internet blackout continues in Kazakhstan, along with disruptions to telecom services, making it difficult to confirm government reporting on the situation. All internet-dependent industries continue to face disruptions.
  • Grocery stores, banks, and gas stations continue to experience supply or security issues.
  • Both Almaty International Airport and Nur-Sultan International Airport are reportedly under Russian military control, with no commercial or private flight operations allowed; however, Air Astana will reportedly resume services from Nur-Sultan airport later today, with international flights to Dubai and Moscow and domestic flights to Atyrau, Shymkent and Turkestan. Additional international services to Frankfurt and Kutaisi (Georgia) will resume on 8 January 2022 and to Istanbul on 9 January 2022.

RECOMMENDATIONS

  • As protests and security operations are likely to continue, reconsider travel to Kazakhstan in the near-term.
  • Those who remain in-country should prepare to shelter-in-place as disruptions are likely to continue to basic services amid security operations.
  • Anticipate telecom disruptions or full blackouts for the next several days or weeks.
  • Avoid protest sites in major cities, including Almaty's Arena Stadium, and Astana and Republic Squares, and Nazarbayev and Abay Avenues and Zheltoksan and Timiryazev Streets, Kenesary Khan monument in Nur-Sultan, Arbat in Shymkent and local administrative offices (akimat) and energy infrastructure.

SUPPORT

Our team can respond with the following capabilities:  

  • Bespoke intelligence reports and briefings 
  • Security support
  • Emergency medical and tele-medical support
  • Logistical support 
  • Emergency evacuation

Click below to contact Global Guardian's 24/7 Operations Center or call us directly at +1 (703) 566-9463.

Read Morearrow-icon

Anti-Government Protests Erupt Across Kazakhstan

Situation update

  • Overnight on 04-05 January 2022 and through the morning, at least 5,000 people took to the streets of the commercial capital Almaty, the political capital Nur-Sultan, Aktau, and other cities to protest rising fuel prices and shortages. As the protests expanded, they grew more broadly antigovernmental in nature.
  • The unrest in Almaty turned violent, with protesters setting fire to the Akimat government building near Republic Square. Security forces used rubber bullets, tear gas, and flash grenades to attempt to clear protesters. At least 200 protesters and 100 police officers have been injured in the unrest in Almaty alone.
  • Reports indicate President Tokayev accepted the resignation of the Prime Minister along with government ministers.
  • There is now an internet blackout in Kazakhstan, along with disruptions to telephone services and several websites have been blocked as well. 
  • Protesters reportedly entered and occupied Almaty International Airport during afternoon hours local time on 05 January, prompting evacuation of airport staff. Passengers had been evacuated earlier in the day as a precaution.
  • Protesters reportedly entered and occupied Almaty International Airport during afternoon hours local time on 05 January, prompting evacuation of airport staff. Passengers had been evacuated earlier in the day as a precaution.
  • President Tokayev declared a state of emergency, which includes a 2300-0700 curfew, for Almaty and the Mangistau region, while a curfew is in effect for the capital Nur-Sultan. Both are set to last until at least 19 January. 
Context
  • What began on 02 January as relatively peaceful rallies against planned fuel price increases and walkouts by oil and gas workers has expanded and morphed into serious anti-government protests aimed at the corrupt leadership structure in Kazakhstan and poor economic conditions made worse by COVID-19. 
  • Despite being oil-rich, Kazakhstan grapples with fuel shortages and price hikes. Oil revenues have mostly served to enrich the family of former president Nursultan Nazarbaev, who continues to wield influence behind the scenes, and as the chairman of the Security Council, which controls all security functions in the state. 
  • Much of the focus of the anti-government protests is now on Nazarbaev. Shouts of "shal ket" ("old man go!") have been heard at many demonstrations. While the average monthly salary in Kazakhstan is around $575, Nazarbaev and his family have purchased some $800,000,000 worth of real estate in the U.S. and Europe, prompting the outrage now seen on the streets.
  • Considering the nearly unprecedented size of the protests, and the fact that they are leaderless and somewhat spontaneous in nature signals that further unrest is likely in the coming days and weeks, especially if the government cracks down hard or does not make good on assurances to halt fuel price hikes.

RECOMMENDATIONS

  • As protests are likely to continue, reconsider travel to Kazakhstan until at least 19 January, once the state of emergency is set to expire. 
  • Those who remain in-country should prepare emergency supplies as disruptions are likely to continue to basic services.
  • Anticipate telecom disruptions or full blackouts for the next several days or weeks.
  • Avoid protest sites in major cities, including Almaty's Arena Stadium, and Astana and Republic Squares, and Nazarbayev and Abay Avenues and Zheltoksan and Timiryazev Streets, Kenesary Khan monument in Nur-Sultan, Arbat in Shymkent and local administrative offices (akimat) and energy infrastructure.

SUPPORT

Our team can respond with the following capabilities:  

  • Bespoke intelligence reports and briefings 
  • Security support
  • Emergency medical and tele-medical support
  • Logistical support 
  • Emergency evacuation

Click below to contact Global Guardian's 24/7 Operations Center or call us directly at +1 (703) 566-9463.

Read Morearrow-icon

U.S. Issues Travel Warning for Ukraine as Tensions with Russia Mount

Situation update
  • On 20 December 2021, the U.S. Department of State declared a “Level 4: Do Not Travel Advisory” for Ukraine, citing “increased threats from Russia.” This warning comes amid a major Russian military buildup along Ukraine’s borders that began in late March. Starting in November, Russia began to mobilize its logistics and other military support units in a deliberate and highly overt manner, giving Moscow the ability to initiate offensive operations in Ukraine with little notice or warning.
Read Morearrow-icon

Rebels Advance Toward Addis Ababa

Situation Update
  • On 02 November 2021, the U.S. Department of State declared a “Level 4: Do Not Travel Advisory” for Ethiopia, restricting U.S. Embassy personnel from traveling outside of Addis Ababa and advising all U.S. citizens in Ethiopia to leave the country.

  • The advisory comes after rebel groups – the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) and the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) – seized two strategically important towns 235 miles north of the capital along Ethiopia’s north-south A2 highway, effectively splitting the country in two. Armed conflict and civil unrest continue in Amhara, Afar, and Tigray.

  • The Ethiopian central government declared a six-month state of emergency and authorities in Addis Ababa and the state of Amhara have also called on residents to register any weapons and prepare to fight. The state of emergency gives the government wide legal power to arrest anyone suspected of providing financial, material, or moral support to the rebel group. Reports of the arrests of ethnic Tigray in Addis have circulated over the past several days.

  • Addis Ababa Bole International Airport (HAAB/ADD) is still fully operational; however, it is unclear if ADD will remain open to commercial flights should conflict reach the outskirts of the city. Flights are reported to be fully booked, as diplomats, expatriates, government officials, and Ethiopian citizens flee Addis.
Read Morearrow-icon

Missionaries Kidnapped in Haiti

Situation Update

On 16 October, assailants in Port-au-Prince, Haiti kidnapped 17 members of an Ohio-based Anabaptist Christian aid group, including five children. The victims include 16 Americans and one Canadian. Local police suspect the involvement of the 400 Mawozo gang, who also kidnapped five priests and two nuns earlier this year.

Read Morearrow-icon

Clashes Erupt in Southern Beirut

Situation update

At approximately 1100 local time, sniper fire was reported against members and supporters of Lebanon’s Shia Hezbollah and the Amal Movement near the Palace of Justice in the Tayouneh area of Beirut, southeast of the city center.

Read Morearrow-icon

"Justice for J6" Rally Planned

THREAT REPORT

On Saturday, 18 September, 2021, upwards of 700 people will return to the U.S. Capitol to rally in support of defendants charged in connection with the January 6 storming of the Capitol building following the pro-Trump "Stop the Steal" rally. The demonstration is planned for noon at Union Square, which encompasses the U.S. Capitol. Multiple road closures will be in effect.

Read Morearrow-icon

Hong Kong Business Risks

 For the first time, on 16 July, the United States government issued a joint advisory on the risks of conducting business, studying, and investing in Hong Kong. This release is a direct response to the June 2020 National Security Law (NSL) that Beijing imposed on Hong Kong which effectively crushed the autonomous region’s special freedoms and extended the risks that foreign businesses and travelers face in Mainland China to Hong Kong.

Read Morearrow-icon

Protests and Unrest Flare Across Globe

The last several weeks have seen protests and violent unrest unfold in Cuba, Haiti, and South Africa due to a worsening COVID-19 situation, presidential assassination, and imprisonment of former leader respectively. The below updates provide context and an outlook for each of the three situations.

Read Morearrow-icon

European Travel Destinations for Americans This Summer

Ready to get back to travel? The good news is that after a long wait, Europe has finally opened its doors to American tourists. Global Guardian's Intelligence Analysts have created a map for easy reference for those planning a European getaway this summer.

Read Morearrow-icon

Subscribe Here
Sign up today to receive monthly articles curated by the Global Guardian team on relevant and important safety and security topics.