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European Travel Destinations for Americans This Summer

Ready to get back to travel? The good news is that after a long wait, Europe has finally opened its doors to American tourists. Global Guardian's Intelligence Analysts have created a map for easy reference for those planning a European getaway this summer.

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COVID-19 Update: Britain Delays Domestic Reopening over Delta Concern

UNITED STATES LATEST DEVELOPMENTS

  • Maryland-based Novavax recently announced promising Phase 3 trial results for its protein-based vaccine. The two-dose vaccine has an estimated efficacy of 90.4% based on a study of 30,000 volunteers in the U.S. and Mexico. It expects to seek emergency authorization use later this year. It does not require special refrigeration and could be the key to vaccinating the third world. 
  • Only Washington, Oregon, New Mexico, and Michigan have not fully reopened. Michigan and Washington will be open by 1 July while New Mexico and Oregon are waiting for residents to hit key vaccine milestones. 
  • The U.S. announced it will buy 500 million doses of the Pfizer vaccine for distribution to 100 low-and middle-income countries.

For the latest United States case counts, click here.

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Violence Heats Up Amid Mexico’s Midterms

On 06 June 2021, Mexicans went to the polls in the country’s largest ever vote, electing 500 federal legislators, 15 governors, members of around 25 state assemblies, and over 20,000 local politicians. The midterms were marred by a series of political assassinations targeting local and state level officials.

While President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, known as AMLO, was not on the ballot, the elections at the state and federal levels were largely a referendum on AMLO and his statist political program that would include amending the constitution to make way for radical political and economic reforms, most importantly, the renationalization of segments of the energy industry.

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COVID-19 Update: CDC Provides Welcome Guidance for Vaccinated Individuals

UNITED STATES LATEST DEVELOPMENTS

  • The U.S. CDC announced on 13 May that vaccinated individuals could resume activities that they had stopped doing during the pandemic. Masks are no longer recommended except when flying or taking public transit, when visiting health care facilities, and in congregate settings like prisons and homeless shelters. 
  • Multiple states in the U.S. changed, or announced they were considering changes to mask mandates. Some private businesses will continue to require masks in their stores, likely until state-by-state vaccination rates meet an internal threshold.
  • The potential lifting of mask mandates following the new CDC guidance raises questions about vaccination verification. It is likely each state will have a different system in place to deal with proof of vaccination. Some states have banned entities from requiring proof of vaccination. 
  • There is optimism that being able to stop using a mask will incentivize those vaccine holdouts. Other states have implemented free food schemes, while Ohio took the extraordinary step of holding $1 million lottery once a week for vaccinated individuals in the state, in an effort to get more people vaccinated. 
  • So far, around 154 million people have received at least one vaccine dose. This will increase as teenagers and adolescents get vaccinated. The CDC recently approved Pfizer's vaccine for use in 12-15 year-old children.

For the latest United States case counts, click here.


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Conflict with Gaza Militants and Violence in Jerusalem

After weeks of high tensions and violent clashes in Jerusalem, Gaza-based militants have opened another round of conflict with Israel. Casualties are mounting on both sides with no ceasefire on the horizon. Meanwhile, violent clashes and sectarian violence have broken out in multi-ethnic areas of Israel outside of Jerusalem, in Nazareth, Acre, Ramle, Haifa, and Lod with several casualties reported. With escalating conflict on the domestic and military fronts, it is highly unlikely that the situation will calm down before next week with Nakba Day falling on Saturday (15 May).

TACTICAL UPDATES
  • Ben Gurion International Airport (TLV) has suspended flights & several roads and train lines in southern Israel are closed due to security concerns
  • State of Emergency declared in Lod, following intense sectarian violence
  • Gaza militants have launched over 1,100 rockets within 38 hours 
  • 500+ Israeli airstrikes reported
  • 50+ Palestinians killed (including militants), 300+ wounded; 6 Israelis killed (including one soldier), 200+ wounded
  • Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), Iran’s foremost proxy in Gaza, has introduced its new Sajil missile; Hamas unveiled its new SH85 missile   
  • In the last 24 hours, Israel has assassinated several senior-level militant commanders, including:
    • Head of PIJ’s Rocket Forces
    • Hamas’ Gaza City Brigadier General 
    • Head of Hamas’ Anti-Tank Unit
    • Head of Hamas’ Cyber Network and Missile Improvement Project
    • Head of Hamas’ Rocket Development
    • Head of Hamas’ Security Branch of Military Intelligence
    • Head of Hamas’ Technical Department for Military Intelligence
    • Brother of the leader of Hamas' Political Wing (in Gaza)
  • Hamas and PIJ are having some success overwhelming Iron Dome with large barrages (100+ rockets in several minutes) and using low trajectories 
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Nationwide Unrest in Colombia

SITUATION REPORT

  • What began as anti-tax reform protests on 28 April have morphed and spread to nationwide anti-government unrest in the ensuing days. Protests quickly turned violent as security forces cracked down and clashed with demonstrators across the country. Cali, Bogotá, Medellín, and Barranquilla have been epicenters for violent unrest.
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Darkside Responsible for Colonial Pipeline Hack

On May 10, the FBI announced that on Friday, May 7, a group known as DarkSide was responsible for a ransomware attack that effectively shut down the operation of the Colonial Pipeline.

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State of Play in the Middle East: Situation Update on the Iranian Nuclear Threat

Tensions in the Middle East remain high amid recent incidents in the region, and any number of triggers could lead to conflict involving Lebanon, Israel, Iran, and the U.S and their proxies. The possible renegotiation of the abandoned nuclear deal sits at the center of the situation, and all eyes are now turned to the key players to see how it plays out.

SITUATION REPORT

Two key deadlines loom large as conflicting reports emerge over the diplomatic progress concerning Iran’s nuclear program. If a compromise between the U.S. and Iran is not reached by 21 May, Iran has threatened to erase the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) monitoring footage of its nuclear activities, possibly upending negotiations. The second upcoming date is 18 June, where hardliners are expected to win Iran’s presidential elections and gain control over the nation’s diplomatic endeavors.

As the clock ticks on the diplomatic track, regional tensions remain high following several significant geopolitical incidents in April. These include a sabotage event at Iran’s primary nuclear facility, the mysterious death of a top Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Commander, the U.S. navy firing warning shots at an IRCC ship in the Gulf (for the first time in four years), and alarms sounding at Israel’s nuclear reactor. Against the backdrop of recent diplomatic initiatives and geopolitical incidents, the region is on edge awaiting what comes next.

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COVID-19 Update: Indian Healthcare System Collapsing

SPOTLIGHT: INDIA

  • India has seen near exponential growth in daily new cases and deaths due to COVID-19. The public healthcare system has effectively collapsed, while private hospital systems are also facing resource issues. Nationwide shortages of oxygen have caused hundreds of deaths and hospitals are overwhelmed, turning away patients. The densely populated cites of India already had a low number of hospital beds per-capita compared to Western hospitals. The COVID-19 crisis has exacerbated this issue.
  • On 27 March, India recorded 62,000 new cases. One month later, the daily case count stood at 360,000. The seven-day rolling average for daily deaths continues to rise, and is currently at 2700. Official tallies for new cases and deaths are both significant undercounts. Experts estimate the true death count is two to five times higher than reported.
  • Despite being a major COVID-19 vaccine producer, less than 10 percent of Indians have received even one dose. Amid the surge in cases, the country has halted exports of vaccines to use domestically instead. This will leave major shortfalls to those countries relying on Indian production and export.
  • A "double mutant" variant known as B.1.617 could possibly be responsible for much of the uncontrolled spread of COVID-19. It contains mutations found in two other strains that may make it more contagious and vaccine-resistant.
  • Global Guardian is actively assisting clients in India with tele-medicine, security and medical evacuations, and sourcing of oxygen concentrators.

 

UNITED STATES LATEST DEVELOPMENTS

  • The European Union announced that during the summer, vaccinated travelers from the U.S. would be able to enter the bloc, a welcome sign for global re-opening of the tourist and business-travel economy. No firm date has been announced for when this could go into effect.  
  • Federal regulators recently ended the pause on the J&J vaccine after studying reported blood clots. Women between 30 and 39 appear to be at greatest risk, with 11.8 cases per million doses given. There have been seven cases per million doses among women between 18 and 49. The FDA will add a warning label to the vaccine.
  • Nearly 2.75 million shots were administered on average in the last seven days. This is down compared to the 3.3 million doses administered per day on average two weeks ago. The decline is likely due to the pause in use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. So far, around 141 million people have received at least one vaccine dose.
  • At current pace, 70% of the population will have been at least partially vaccinated by mid-July, with herd immunity, estimated between 70-90% reached in mid-August. These projections will likely improve as the J&J vaccine rollout resumes.

For the latest United States case counts, click here.


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Global Guardian Actively Assists Clients in India

SITUATION REPORT

While the global battle against coronavirus continues, some countries are making progress while others are still experiencing high rates of transmission. India in particular is in the midst of a COVID-19 crisis. Official case counts routinely exceed 300,000/day, and the government reports nearly 3,000 deaths per day. Both of these statistics are significant undercounts, with some estimates putting these metrics at 2-5x official counts. The healthcare system is overwhelmed, with critical shortages of oxygen and hospital beds. There are reports of people are dying from COVID-19 while in line outside hospitals and clinics.


In an effort to support Global Guardian clients we are actively: 

  • Coordinating both medical and security evacuations 
  • Helping coordinate tele-medicine from the US and in India 
  • Sourcing oxygen concentrators 

Standing by to Support

As the situation unfolds, Global Guardian is actively supporting clients with their security needs. If you are in need of support please contact Global Guardian’s 24/7 Operations by clicking below or calling + 1 (703) 566-9463.

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